College Commitment Projections- September Edition, Part 2
by Alex Schwartz
It is time for part two of my college commitment projects. I have already made me predictions for where the 10 uncommitted players ranked in the top 20 of Northstar Basketball's Class of 2010 Terrific 125. That article included players such as Brandon Knight, Harrison Barnes, Kyrie Irving, and Tobias Harris. Now, check out my predictions for the seven uncommitted players ranked between 21 and 30.
Justin Coleman, SG, 6'4, Christian Life Center (TX), #21
Favorite: Marquette
2nd in Line: Florida
3rd in Line: Arkansas
Watch Out for: North Carolina
Marquette is one of the few schools that Coleman has been to, as he was there for the program's elite camp. The Golden Eagles have done a great job of landing talented players since Buzz Williams took over as head coach. Florida has just one committed player in 2010 and it is a big man, Patric Young, so the Gators could use a wing, and are going after Coleman hard. Another SEC option for Justin would be Arkansas. John Pelphrey is developing the Razorbacks into a contender, and Coleman would be a huge piece of the puzzle. After a year away from his roots in Virginia—Coleman previously attended Henrico (VA)—he may want to return back to the Southeast, but then again, he may not. The one to watch out for here is North Carolina. As of now, the Tar Heels are not even pursuing Justin, but UNC is his dream school and he would still like to visit Chapel Hill. Should other forwards—Harrison Barnes, Roscoe Smith, CJ Leslie, etc.—opt to go elsewhere, Roy Williams may be able to lure Coleman to the ACC power, as it seems he would love to go there. Coleman's recruitment is hard to read as a whole because he blow up so quickly and so late, in addition to the fact that he still needs to get his academic situation straightened out—being at CLC will help. Right now Marquette is probably the favorite, but that can certainly change, especially since his is now at a new school.
Adreian Payne, C, 6'10, Jefferson (OH), #23
Favorite: West Virginia
2nd in Line: Kentucky
3rd in Line: Michigan State
Payne is West Virginia's to lose. Talk to anyone close to the situation, and they will likely tell you that the big man will wind up in Morgantown. Yes, the scholarship numbers will have to be worked out—that is why Bryon Allen is no longer a WVU pledge—but we all know that there are ways to open up spots, especially for a player of Adreian's caliber. Payne wants to leave the Buckeye State, and going to WVU would let him to just that, while also not going overly far from home. Kentucky and Michigan State also present that same situation, as they too border Ohio. The Wildcats are probably next in line after Bob Huggins and Co., and there is a very real chance that the long, athletic specimen could be talked into playing in Lexington. Do not discount Michigan State yet, as Tom Izzo has done enough to get the Spartans into Adreian's final five, and the allure of Big Ten basketball, which Payne grew up around being from the Midwest, might be a selling point. Nonetheless, expect that Payne will end up as a Mountaineer, with Kentucky as the other possible destination.
CJ Leslie, PF, 6'8, Word of God Academy (NC), #24
Favorite: North Carolina
2nd in Line: Kentucky
3rd in Line: Florida
Watch Out for: Wake Forest
If the Tar Heels do not get Harrison Barnes, and I do not think they will, it is very likely that they will make a strong push for Leslie. If North Carolina tells the combo forward that he would have a spot, there is a strong chance that he would select the in-state powerhouse. Considering that he is a one-time North Carolina State-commit, one would think that staying local would be important to Leslie. If UNC does get Barnes, then things open up much more. Kentucky could then have a leg up on the competition, as John Calipari does a great job as a recruiter. The Wildcats are one of the nation's elite programs, just like UNC, and Leslie would be able to compete for a national title there as well. Add in the fact that his former high school teammate, John Wall '09, is in Lexington—there almost no chance he would stay for his sophomore year and play with Leslie though—and UK has a good shot. Florida is another program that has won a lot this decade, and it is also in the South. Leslie would be an impact player for the Gators, and he seems to be interested in the SEC school. As for Wake Forest, keep an eye out for Dion Gaudio and Co. If the Demon Deacons do not land Carson Desrosiers '10, they will be in the hunt for an alternate big man, and Leslie could be that guy, although he has a very different game than Desrosiers. Should Leslie not decide on UNC, but feel he wants to stay in-state, Wake Forest would probably be his choice.
Tarik Black, PF, 6'8, Ridgeway (TN), #26
Favorite: Memphis
2nd in Line: Alabama
3rd in Line: Marquette
Watch Out for: Duke
Tarik Black is going to go to Memphis, and that is a near guarantee. The big man is from the city, played for an AAU team—Memphis Magic—based out of the city, and is quite close with Memphis-commit Joe Jackson '10, who also ran with the Memphis Magic. Many have speculated that Black and Jackson would be a package deal, especially if they both liked Memphis. Tarik was on hand for Jackson's press conference to announce for the Tigers, and it would be a huge shocker if he did not go with Josh Pastner's program. Nonetheless, I am doing a top three, and Alabama has to be considered in second place. The SEC program is one of two schools that Black has visited, and the Crimson Tide also had an in-home visit with him, around the same time Jackson picked Memphis actually. If Tarik makes a surprise pick and does not choose Memphis, look for him to go with Anthony Grant and Co. Marquette is the other school Black has visited, and that counts for something, so the Golden Eagles are a distant third here. The dark horse here is Duke. The Blue Devils have expressed interest in Black, and the school has a fantastic academic reputation, which is very important to Tarik and his family. The ACC school is a long shot to land Tarik, especially because they it has a number of priorities above him, but do not discount it just yet.
Gary Franklin, PG, 6'2, Mater Dei (CA), #27
Favorite: Arizona
2nd in Line: Baylor
3rd in Line: Washington
Watch Out for: UCLA, USC
I think that as this point, Arizona is in the driver's seat for Franklin. After that, it is tough to tell. All things considered, I feel that Sean Miller's program has the most of what Franklin is looking for. The Wildcats want another guard in the class of 2010, Franklin seems to like the Pac-10, and it appears he would prefer to stay close to home, making UA a likely choice. Although the school has by no means locked up the talented combo guard, I do expect him to end up in Tuscon. Baylor is searching for a talented guard in 2010, and may be a major long shot to land Josh Selby, but Franklin could be Scott Drew's better option realistically, as Selby is basically down to UConn and Kentucky. Waco is not too far away from home for Franklin—of course, it is not right around the corner either—and if Gary decides he wants a little more space, he could end up playing there. Washington is another Pac-10 school on the West Coast that is tracking Franklin, and could have a chance. Should UCLA miss out on Ray McCallum '10, Ben Howland could make a push for Franklin, who is not being recruited by the Bruins right now. UCLA needs a PG in this class, as Kendall Williams recently decommitted. Maybe Howland would try to talk Franklin into staying in the Golden State, but that is not a likely scenario. Another unlikely situation would be Franklin choosing USC again, as he decommitted from the Trojans almost immediately after Kevin O'Neill was hired, as he did not feel the new coach would be a good match for him. Southern Cal did get Franklin on campus for a visit recently, so the school does seem to still be in the hunt.
Ray McCallum, PG, 6'1, Detroit Country Day School (MI), #28
Favorite: UCLA
2nd in Line: Arizona
3rd in Line: Oklahoma
Watch Out for: Florida, Detroit
This is going to come down to five schools, in UCLA, Arizona, Oklahoma, Florida, and Detroit. I will go bottom to top for this one. McCallum wants to go to a high-major school, yet he seems to also want to play for his father, Ray McCallum, Sr., who is the head coach at Detroit. When push comes to shove, expect McCallum to pass on the chance to play for his father and follow his dream of going to a big-time program. The school cannot be counted out just yet though, and is still in play. Florida is maybe the least likely of the four BCS schools, as it is the only one not in the Midwest or the West, and Ray seems to want to stay on the western half of the country. The Gators are still a possibility, albeit a slimmer one than UCLA, UA, and OU. As for the Sooners, the elder McCallum is a former assistant coach at the Big XXII school, so there is some familiarity with the program, which should not be overlooked. At the end of the day, Ray seems to want to play in the Pac-10, which makes UCLA and Arizona the front runners. Arizona is probably a notch behind, as the prestige is not quite at the same level and UCLA is pushing a bit harder. Look for Ray McCallum to wind up as a Bruin, but do not rule out Arizona, Oklahoma, Florida, or Detroit.
Terrence Jones, PF, 6'8, Jefferson (OR), #29
Favorite: Oklahoma
2nd in Line: Oregon State
3rd in Line: Arizona
Watch Out for: Maryland, Oregon
In all likelihood, Jones will not go any farther east than Oklahoma, and the Sooners seem to be the front runner. The summer stock booster is considered to be an OU lean, and Jeff Capel's best recruiting tool might be to tell Jones that he just produced a power forward who was the #1 pick in the NBA Draft in Blake Griffin, though the two are very different players. Do not rule out Oregon State. Once a Pac-10 bottom feeder, Craig Robinson has rejuvenated the program and brought in a big-time class in 2009. With a player of Jones' caliber in the Beaver State, one can only imagine how badly Robinson wants to land him. Arizona is working to get Jones as well and could be a possibility if Jones wants to stay on the West Coast, but still venture a bit away from home. Sean Miller is a tireless recruiter, and Jones would be a huge get. Maryland is the odd one out here, as it is the lone east coast program listed. The Terrapins are a long shot for Terrence, but his relationship with Maryland-commit Terrence Ross '10, who is originally from Oregon, could be a factor, and is the main reason UMD has a shot. It likely will not be enough though. Just as Oregon State should not be crossed off the list, Oregon should not be either. With Ernie Kent on the hot seat, getting a pledge from the state's best player would be big, so he is doing what he can to keep Jones in-state and convince him to be a Duck.
Note- all photos are from http://scouthoops.scout.com/
It is time for part two of my college commitment projects. I have already made me predictions for where the 10 uncommitted players ranked in the top 20 of Northstar Basketball's Class of 2010 Terrific 125. That article included players such as Brandon Knight, Harrison Barnes, Kyrie Irving, and Tobias Harris. Now, check out my predictions for the seven uncommitted players ranked between 21 and 30.
Justin Coleman, SG, 6'4, Christian Life Center (TX), #21
Favorite: Marquette2nd in Line: Florida
3rd in Line: Arkansas
Watch Out for: North Carolina
Marquette is one of the few schools that Coleman has been to, as he was there for the program's elite camp. The Golden Eagles have done a great job of landing talented players since Buzz Williams took over as head coach. Florida has just one committed player in 2010 and it is a big man, Patric Young, so the Gators could use a wing, and are going after Coleman hard. Another SEC option for Justin would be Arkansas. John Pelphrey is developing the Razorbacks into a contender, and Coleman would be a huge piece of the puzzle. After a year away from his roots in Virginia—Coleman previously attended Henrico (VA)—he may want to return back to the Southeast, but then again, he may not. The one to watch out for here is North Carolina. As of now, the Tar Heels are not even pursuing Justin, but UNC is his dream school and he would still like to visit Chapel Hill. Should other forwards—Harrison Barnes, Roscoe Smith, CJ Leslie, etc.—opt to go elsewhere, Roy Williams may be able to lure Coleman to the ACC power, as it seems he would love to go there. Coleman's recruitment is hard to read as a whole because he blow up so quickly and so late, in addition to the fact that he still needs to get his academic situation straightened out—being at CLC will help. Right now Marquette is probably the favorite, but that can certainly change, especially since his is now at a new school.
Adreian Payne, C, 6'10, Jefferson (OH), #23
Favorite: West Virginia2nd in Line: Kentucky
3rd in Line: Michigan State
Payne is West Virginia's to lose. Talk to anyone close to the situation, and they will likely tell you that the big man will wind up in Morgantown. Yes, the scholarship numbers will have to be worked out—that is why Bryon Allen is no longer a WVU pledge—but we all know that there are ways to open up spots, especially for a player of Adreian's caliber. Payne wants to leave the Buckeye State, and going to WVU would let him to just that, while also not going overly far from home. Kentucky and Michigan State also present that same situation, as they too border Ohio. The Wildcats are probably next in line after Bob Huggins and Co., and there is a very real chance that the long, athletic specimen could be talked into playing in Lexington. Do not discount Michigan State yet, as Tom Izzo has done enough to get the Spartans into Adreian's final five, and the allure of Big Ten basketball, which Payne grew up around being from the Midwest, might be a selling point. Nonetheless, expect that Payne will end up as a Mountaineer, with Kentucky as the other possible destination.
CJ Leslie, PF, 6'8, Word of God Academy (NC), #24
Favorite: North Carolina2nd in Line: Kentucky
3rd in Line: Florida
Watch Out for: Wake Forest
If the Tar Heels do not get Harrison Barnes, and I do not think they will, it is very likely that they will make a strong push for Leslie. If North Carolina tells the combo forward that he would have a spot, there is a strong chance that he would select the in-state powerhouse. Considering that he is a one-time North Carolina State-commit, one would think that staying local would be important to Leslie. If UNC does get Barnes, then things open up much more. Kentucky could then have a leg up on the competition, as John Calipari does a great job as a recruiter. The Wildcats are one of the nation's elite programs, just like UNC, and Leslie would be able to compete for a national title there as well. Add in the fact that his former high school teammate, John Wall '09, is in Lexington—there almost no chance he would stay for his sophomore year and play with Leslie though—and UK has a good shot. Florida is another program that has won a lot this decade, and it is also in the South. Leslie would be an impact player for the Gators, and he seems to be interested in the SEC school. As for Wake Forest, keep an eye out for Dion Gaudio and Co. If the Demon Deacons do not land Carson Desrosiers '10, they will be in the hunt for an alternate big man, and Leslie could be that guy, although he has a very different game than Desrosiers. Should Leslie not decide on UNC, but feel he wants to stay in-state, Wake Forest would probably be his choice.
Tarik Black, PF, 6'8, Ridgeway (TN), #26
Favorite: Memphis2nd in Line: Alabama
3rd in Line: Marquette
Watch Out for: Duke
Tarik Black is going to go to Memphis, and that is a near guarantee. The big man is from the city, played for an AAU team—Memphis Magic—based out of the city, and is quite close with Memphis-commit Joe Jackson '10, who also ran with the Memphis Magic. Many have speculated that Black and Jackson would be a package deal, especially if they both liked Memphis. Tarik was on hand for Jackson's press conference to announce for the Tigers, and it would be a huge shocker if he did not go with Josh Pastner's program. Nonetheless, I am doing a top three, and Alabama has to be considered in second place. The SEC program is one of two schools that Black has visited, and the Crimson Tide also had an in-home visit with him, around the same time Jackson picked Memphis actually. If Tarik makes a surprise pick and does not choose Memphis, look for him to go with Anthony Grant and Co. Marquette is the other school Black has visited, and that counts for something, so the Golden Eagles are a distant third here. The dark horse here is Duke. The Blue Devils have expressed interest in Black, and the school has a fantastic academic reputation, which is very important to Tarik and his family. The ACC school is a long shot to land Tarik, especially because they it has a number of priorities above him, but do not discount it just yet.
Gary Franklin, PG, 6'2, Mater Dei (CA), #27
Favorite: Arizona2nd in Line: Baylor
3rd in Line: Washington
Watch Out for: UCLA, USC
I think that as this point, Arizona is in the driver's seat for Franklin. After that, it is tough to tell. All things considered, I feel that Sean Miller's program has the most of what Franklin is looking for. The Wildcats want another guard in the class of 2010, Franklin seems to like the Pac-10, and it appears he would prefer to stay close to home, making UA a likely choice. Although the school has by no means locked up the talented combo guard, I do expect him to end up in Tuscon. Baylor is searching for a talented guard in 2010, and may be a major long shot to land Josh Selby, but Franklin could be Scott Drew's better option realistically, as Selby is basically down to UConn and Kentucky. Waco is not too far away from home for Franklin—of course, it is not right around the corner either—and if Gary decides he wants a little more space, he could end up playing there. Washington is another Pac-10 school on the West Coast that is tracking Franklin, and could have a chance. Should UCLA miss out on Ray McCallum '10, Ben Howland could make a push for Franklin, who is not being recruited by the Bruins right now. UCLA needs a PG in this class, as Kendall Williams recently decommitted. Maybe Howland would try to talk Franklin into staying in the Golden State, but that is not a likely scenario. Another unlikely situation would be Franklin choosing USC again, as he decommitted from the Trojans almost immediately after Kevin O'Neill was hired, as he did not feel the new coach would be a good match for him. Southern Cal did get Franklin on campus for a visit recently, so the school does seem to still be in the hunt.
Ray McCallum, PG, 6'1, Detroit Country Day School (MI), #28
Favorite: UCLA2nd in Line: Arizona
3rd in Line: Oklahoma
Watch Out for: Florida, Detroit
This is going to come down to five schools, in UCLA, Arizona, Oklahoma, Florida, and Detroit. I will go bottom to top for this one. McCallum wants to go to a high-major school, yet he seems to also want to play for his father, Ray McCallum, Sr., who is the head coach at Detroit. When push comes to shove, expect McCallum to pass on the chance to play for his father and follow his dream of going to a big-time program. The school cannot be counted out just yet though, and is still in play. Florida is maybe the least likely of the four BCS schools, as it is the only one not in the Midwest or the West, and Ray seems to want to stay on the western half of the country. The Gators are still a possibility, albeit a slimmer one than UCLA, UA, and OU. As for the Sooners, the elder McCallum is a former assistant coach at the Big XXII school, so there is some familiarity with the program, which should not be overlooked. At the end of the day, Ray seems to want to play in the Pac-10, which makes UCLA and Arizona the front runners. Arizona is probably a notch behind, as the prestige is not quite at the same level and UCLA is pushing a bit harder. Look for Ray McCallum to wind up as a Bruin, but do not rule out Arizona, Oklahoma, Florida, or Detroit.
Terrence Jones, PF, 6'8, Jefferson (OR), #29
Favorite: Oklahoma2nd in Line: Oregon State
3rd in Line: Arizona
Watch Out for: Maryland, Oregon
In all likelihood, Jones will not go any farther east than Oklahoma, and the Sooners seem to be the front runner. The summer stock booster is considered to be an OU lean, and Jeff Capel's best recruiting tool might be to tell Jones that he just produced a power forward who was the #1 pick in the NBA Draft in Blake Griffin, though the two are very different players. Do not rule out Oregon State. Once a Pac-10 bottom feeder, Craig Robinson has rejuvenated the program and brought in a big-time class in 2009. With a player of Jones' caliber in the Beaver State, one can only imagine how badly Robinson wants to land him. Arizona is working to get Jones as well and could be a possibility if Jones wants to stay on the West Coast, but still venture a bit away from home. Sean Miller is a tireless recruiter, and Jones would be a huge get. Maryland is the odd one out here, as it is the lone east coast program listed. The Terrapins are a long shot for Terrence, but his relationship with Maryland-commit Terrence Ross '10, who is originally from Oregon, could be a factor, and is the main reason UMD has a shot. It likely will not be enough though. Just as Oregon State should not be crossed off the list, Oregon should not be either. With Ernie Kent on the hot seat, getting a pledge from the state's best player would be big, so he is doing what he can to keep Jones in-state and convince him to be a Duck.
Note- all photos are from http://scouthoops.scout.com/



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